Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 410.78 | $0.853 | $351.22 | +$0.78 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 16.09 | $0.862 | $13.87 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.940 |
| $187 |
| -$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 93.08 | $0.966 | $90.99 | +$1.06 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 94.05 | $0.960 | $89.81 | -$0.47 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 79.27 | $0.981 | $78.12 | +$0.33 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 67.85 | $0.975 | $66.59 | +$0.44 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 66.66 | $0.962 | $64.1 | -$0.01 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 66.15 | $0.948 | $62.88 | +$0.15 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 62.4 | $0.930 | $57.72 | -$0.31 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 58.51 | $0.960 | $56.55 | +$0.39 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 51.16 | $0.944 | $47.96 | -$0.33 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 41.68 | $0.950 | $39.39 | -$0.21 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 39.93 | $0.970 | $38.71 | -$0.03 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 38.09 | $0.982 | $37.18 | -$0.22 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 41.92 | $0.880 | $36.47 | -$0.42 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 39.91 | $0.880 | $34.92 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 40 | $0.880 | $34.6 | -$0.6 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 32.68 | $0.970 | $31.68 | -$0 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 31.18 | $0.978 | $30.54 | +$0.06 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 42.57 | $0.585 | $27.88 | +$2.99 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 42.67 | $0.690 | $27.31 | -$2.13 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.18 | $0.960 | $26.88 | +$0.8 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 27.24 | $0.969 | $26.26 | -$0.14 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 25.28 | $0.940 | $23.89 | +$0.13 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 104.37 | $0.520 | $22.44 | -$31.88 |
| sell |
| 41.31 |
| $0.090 |
| $3.72 |
| 2h ago |
 Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.979 | $3.88 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.16 | $0.988 | $3.12 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.220 | $1.67 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.460 | $1.37 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.48 | $0.290 | $1.01 | 3h ago |
| Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.960 | $3.8 | 3h ago |
| Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.960 | $3.8 | 3h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.2 | $0.690 | $2.21 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.63 | $0.310 | $1.13 | 3h ago |
| Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.980 | $3.88 | 3h ago |
| Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.980 | $3.88 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.680 | $1.09 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.650 | $1.56 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.11 | $0.620 | $1.31 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.600 | $1.13 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.340 | $1.97 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.590 | $2.94 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 8.72 | $0.280 | $2.44 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.660 | $1.17 | 4h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.69 | $0.650 | $1.1 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.610 | $3.54 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.590 | $2.23 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 5.31 | $0.640 | $3.4 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.52 | $0.630 | $1.59 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 27.2 | $0.580 | $15.78 | 5h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.470 | $1.97 | 5h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.956 | $6.78 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.940 | $13.62 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.254 | $4.06 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.600 | $2.6 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 18.47 | $0.640 | $11.82 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.66 | $0.720 | $8.4 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.600 | $2.22 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.570 | $1.03 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.560 | $1.2 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 7.27 | $0.430 | $3.13 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 11.22 | $0.540 | $6.06 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.640 | $2.02 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.520 | $3.06 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.96 | $0.450 | $2.23 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 8.03 | $0.400 | $3.21 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.400 | $1.92 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 6.22 | $0.400 | $2.49 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 13.32 | $0.360 | $4.8 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 35.49 | $0.330 | $11.71 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 4.97 | $0.730 | $3.63 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.810 | $4.52 | 9h ago |