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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 267.15 | $0.611 | $196.36 | +$33.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 155.21 |
| $0.772 |
| $132.7 |
| +$12.84 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 119.88 | $0.837 | $104.9 | +$4.59 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 234.52 | $0.249 | $55.11 | -$3.29 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.770 | $25.27 | +$4.74 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 24.34 | $0.960 | $23.72 | +$0.35 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 80.25 | $0.549 | $17.66 | -$26.39 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.33 | $0.934 | $16.94 | +$0.75 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 16.54 | $0.680 | $16.51 | +$5.27 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 18.85 | $0.811 | $16.31 | +$1.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 29.9 | $0.408 | $15.1 | +$2.89 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.15 | $0.220 | $14.66 | +$11.32 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 13.59 | $0.938 | $13.21 | +$0.46 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.940 | $12.87 | -$5.93 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 12.32 | $0.974 | $12.08 | +$0.08 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 10.96 | $0.940 | $10.77 | +$0.47 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 11.22 | $0.350 | $10.72 | +$6.79 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 10.86 | $0.940 | $10.43 | +$0.22 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 19.65 | $0.585 | $9.92 | -$1.57 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.978 | $9.8 | +$0.02 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.914 | $9.65 | +$0.51 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 11.02 | $0.852 | $9.55 | +$0.16 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.827 | $9.53 | +$1.26 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.755 | $9.25 | +$1.7 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 43.42 | $0.360 | $9.12 | -$6.51 |
| sell |
| 0.17 |
| $0.140 |
| $0.02 |
| 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.500 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.500 | $0.09 | 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.73 | $0.140 | $0.1 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.500 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.500 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.490 | $0.09 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.500 | $0.11 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.490 | $0.17 | 3h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 19.65 | $0.585 | $11.49 | 12h ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.500 | $0.08 | 12h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.140 | $0 | 12h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 13h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.3 | $0.130 | $0.17 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.630 | $0.71 | 14h ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.130 | $0.01 | 16h ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.490 | $0.01 | 17h ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.490 | $0.43 | 17h ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 21h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.130 | $0.03 | 22h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.130 | $0.04 | 22h ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.650 | $0.18 | 1d ago |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.770 | $1.05 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.780 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.780 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.620 | $0.17 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.780 | $0.09 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.780 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.780 | $0.07 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.780 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.780 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.780 | $0.07 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.600 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.140 | $1.35 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.780 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.780 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.780 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.780 | $0.09 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.780 | $0.1 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.780 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.780 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.780 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.780 | $0.08 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.590 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.590 | $0.16 | 1d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.500 | $0.09 | 1d ago |