Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.04K | $0.940 | $1.9K | -$10.19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 21.5 | $0.960 | $20.64 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.48K |
| $0.860 |
| $1.27K |
| -$7.41 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 534 | $0.960 | $509.97 | -$2.67 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 257.25 | $0.960 | $245.67 | -$1.29 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 133 | $0.830 | $111.06 | +$0.67 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 129.2 | $0.825 | $107.56 | +$0.97 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 71.36 | $0.855 | $60.69 | -$0.3 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 64 | $0.930 | $60.16 | +$0.64 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 59.5 | $0.940 | $55.63 | -$0.3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 265 | $0.260 | $46.38 | -$22.53 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 53 | $0.860 | $45.85 | +$0.27 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 62 | $0.730 | $45.26 | $0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | No | 36 | $0.990 | $35.77 | +$0.13 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.25 | $0.960 | $31.75 | -$0.17 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 40.5 | $0.620 | $25.52 | +$0.41 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.46 | $0.940 | $21.89 | -$1.1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 173 | $0.130 | $21.63 | -$0.87 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 224.5 | $0.120 | $21.33 | -$5.61 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 24.03 | $0.889 | $20.62 | -$0.74 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 20.28 | $0.959 | $19.35 | -$0.09 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 19.11 | $0.925 | $17.67 | +$0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 71.96 | $0.250 | $16.19 | -$1.8 |
 Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | No | 15.5 | $0.960 | $14.8 | -$0.08 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 16.56 | $0.817 | $14.66 | +$1.13 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 68 | $0.220 | $14.62 | -$0.34 |
| buy |
| 46.75 |
| $0.960 |
| $44.88 |
| 2d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 224.5 | $0.120 | $26.94 | 3d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.04K | $0.940 | $1.91K | 3d ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 465.75 | $0.960 | $447.12 | 3d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.990 | $35.64 | 3d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.220 | $14.96 | 3d ago |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 64 | $0.930 | $59.52 | 3d ago |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.090 | $1.26 | 3d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 62 | $0.730 | $45.26 | 3d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 129.2 | $0.825 | $106.59 | 3d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.989 | $7.96 | 3d ago |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.25 | $0.960 | $31.92 | 3d ago |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 59.5 | $0.940 | $55.93 | 3d ago |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.960 | $14.88 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.860 | $1.27K | 3d ago |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.46 | $0.940 | $22.99 | 3d ago |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.5 | $0.240 | $4.44 | 3d ago |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.110 | $4.84 | 3d ago |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 24.03 | $0.889 | $21.36 | 3d ago |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.130 | $22.49 | 3d ago |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No | buy | 19.11 | $0.925 | $17.67 | 3d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 257.25 | $0.960 | $246.96 | 3d ago |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.2 | $0.100 | $1.52 | 3d ago |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No | buy | 16.56 | $0.817 | $13.53 | 3d ago |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No | buy | 12.1 | $0.952 | $11.52 | 3d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No | buy | 40.5 | $0.620 | $25.11 | 3d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.28 | $0.989 | $11.16 | 3d ago |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.110 | $3.19 | 3d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 71.96 | $0.250 | $17.99 | 3d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.140 | $5.88 | 3d ago |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.940 | $4.94 | 3d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 71.36 | $0.855 | $60.99 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.260 | $68.9 | 3d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.860 | $45.58 | 3d ago |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 20.28 | $0.959 | $19.44 | 3d ago |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 133 | $0.830 | $110.39 | 3d ago |