Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 135.37 | $0.755 | $115.74 | +$13.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 7.95 | $0.830 | $6.6 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 121.1 |
| $0.741 |
| $103.18 |
| +$13.48 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 102.65 | $0.945 | $100.29 | +$3.29 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 105.07 | $0.911 | $100.29 | +$4.56 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 90.41 | $0.965 | $88.19 | +$0.94 |
 KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | No | 89.67 | $0.925 | $84.16 | +$1.16 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | No | 83.34 | $0.912 | $80.89 | +$4.89 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 75.92 | $0.917 | $70.34 | +$0.72 |
 Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 41.65 | $0.936 | $39.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 43.18 | $0.865 | $38.21 | +$0.85 |
 Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? | No | 25.05 | $0.958 | $23.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 278.89 | $0.139 | $15.34 | -$23.37 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 11.57 | $0.951 | $11.48 | +$0.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 10.46 | $0.790 | $9.04 | +$0.78 |
| Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 40 | $0.007 | $4.2 | +$3.92 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 56.67 | $0.018 | $0.08 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.007 |
| $0.28 |
| 8d ago |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | sell | 3.17 | $0.972 | $3.08 | 9d ago |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 15.69 | $0.948 | $14.87 | 9d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 74.22 | $0.829 | $61.5 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.977 | $1.95 | 9d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 37.51 | $0.860 | $32.26 | 10d ago |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 33.51 | $0.955 | $32 | 10d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 278.88 | $0.070 | $19.52 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 33.09 | $0.860 | $28.46 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.964 | $11.22 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?No | buy | 11.59 | $0.949 | $11 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.810 | $9 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?No | buy | 25.05 | $0.958 | $24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.928 | $13 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.860 | $7 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 557.76 | $0.080 | $44.62 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.700 | $5.91 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 38.32 | $0.972 | $37.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 51.77 | $0.966 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No | buy | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 53.43 | $0.936 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 53.43 | $0.936 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 59.45 | $0.841 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 698.87 | $0.150 | $104.83 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 343.75 | $0.006 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No | sell | 53.28 | $0.997 | $53.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.998 | $52.52 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.998 | $1.05 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 50.49 | $0.780 | $39.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 135.86 | $0.697 | $94.67 | May 7, 2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | May 7, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | sell | 160 | $0.726 | $116.24 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No | buy | 53.29 | $0.984 | $52.45 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | May 1, 2026 |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | May 1, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 68.99 | $0.870 | $60.02 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 64.19 | $0.935 | $60 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.940 | $6.26 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 44.62 | $0.140 | $6.25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 44.63 | $0.240 | $10.71 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?No | sell | 10.91 | $0.979 | $10.68 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No | buy | 51.83 | $0.965 | $50 | Apr 8, 2026 |