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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 18.79 | $0.940 | $17.57 | -$0.09 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.710 | $0.01 | 27m ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.16 |
| $0.972 |
| $16.63 |
| -$0.04 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026? | No | 16.42 | $0.974 | $16.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.86 | $0.624 | $15.75 | +$5.85 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 13.54 | $0.981 | $13.34 | +$0.06 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 16.97 | $0.304 | $13.32 | +$8.16 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | No | 13.81 | $0.940 | $13.26 | +$0.28 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 40.94 | $0.628 | $8.8 | -$16.9 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.33 | $0.950 | $8.73 | -$0.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 8.38 | $0.793 | $7.16 | +$0.52 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 8.11 | $0.880 | $7.1 | -$0.04 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 7.75 | $0.870 | $6.7 | -$0.04 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 6.89 | $0.972 | $6.69 | -$0.01 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5.89 | $0.960 | $5.62 | -$0.03 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 15.83 | $0.339 | $5.46 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 11.09 | $0.427 | $5.21 | +$0.48 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 5.05 | $0.969 | $4.97 | +$0.08 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 5.11 | $0.930 | $4.89 | +$0.13 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.9 | $0.960 | $4.68 | -$0.02 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 5.14 | $0.796 | $4.48 | +$0.38 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 4.59 | $0.913 | $4.43 | +$0.24 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 4.6 | $0.920 | $4.34 | +$0.11 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.315 | $4.33 | -$2.67 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 12.21 | $0.362 | $4.29 | -$0.13 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September? | Yes | 3.91 | $0.990 | $3.91 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 0.02 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.01 |
| 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.500 | $0.04 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.490 | $0.04 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.500 | $0.05 | 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.490 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.590 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.420 | $0.15 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.420 | $0.14 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.410 | $0.09 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.560 | $0.02 | 4h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.860 | $1.06 | 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.380 | $0.13 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.380 | $0.26 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.390 | $0.13 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.360 | $0.19 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.340 | $0.13 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.23 | $0.350 | $0.08 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.350 | $0.1 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.340 | $0.11 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.320 | $0.26 | 8h ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.160 | $1.1 | 8h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.360 | $1.28 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.300 | $0.18 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.630 | $1.09 | 8h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.720 | $1.08 | 9h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.360 | $1.25 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.680 | $3.48 | 10h ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.960 | $3.3 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.390 | $0.1 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.390 | $0.25 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.390 | $0.06 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.390 | $0.19 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.380 | $0.26 | 11h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.320 | $1.56 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.418 | $1.65 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.410 | $1.64 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.410 | $1.65 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.600 | $1.2 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Yes | buy | 5.89 | $0.380 | $2.24 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 12.4 | $0.350 | $4.34 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.560 | $1.85 | 12h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 2.25 | $0.630 | $1.42 | 12h ago |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.87 | $0.890 | $4.33 | 21h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.02 | $0.020 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No | sell | 0.8 | $0.964 | $0.77 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 7.75 | $0.870 | $6.74 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.650 | $0.29 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.77 | $0.930 | $8.16 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.07 | $0.890 | $1.84 | 1d ago |