Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 272.22 | $0.852 | $232.75 | +$0.92 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.550 | $0.05 | 3m ago |
|
| No |
| 96.2 |
| $0.938 |
| $89.94 |
| -$0.29 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 44.74 | $0.968 | $43.74 | +$0.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 34.2 | $0.962 | $32.88 | -$0.02 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.03 | $0.930 | $30.55 | -$0.17 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 29.85 | $0.859 | $27.01 | +$1.37 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 25.13 | $0.981 | $24.76 | +$0.1 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 25.88 | $0.944 | $24.24 | -$0.19 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 29.15 | $0.795 | $22.59 | -$0.58 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 25.27 | $0.249 | $19.84 | +$13.54 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 20.39 | $0.965 | $19.71 | +$0.03 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 20.29 | $0.958 | $19.29 | -$0.15 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 20.2 | $0.950 | $19.09 | -$0.1 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 19.51 | $0.982 | $19.03 | -$0.12 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 18.82 | $0.972 | $18.25 | -$0.04 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 20.33 | $0.880 | $17.79 | -$0.1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 16.52 | $0.969 | $16.02 | +$0.01 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 15.75 | $0.970 | $14.97 | -$0.3 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 16.37 | $0.880 | $14.16 | -$0.25 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 13.79 | $0.970 | $13.3 | -$0.08 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 20.42 | $0.690 | $13.17 | -$0.92 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 12.65 | $0.976 | $12.45 | +$0.1 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 57.13 | $0.613 | $12.28 | -$22.74 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 12.44 | $0.940 | $11.75 | +$0.06 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 12.29 | $0.950 | $11.74 | +$0.06 |
| sell |
| 0.05 |
| $0.550 |
| $0.03 |
| 3m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.550 | $0.03 | 3m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.480 | $0.05 | 8m ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.220 | $0.06 | 15m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.230 | $0.03 | 15m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.957 | $3.09 | 37m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.240 | $0.01 | 54m ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.45 | $0.300 | $0.14 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.600 | $0.2 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.610 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.290 | $0.1 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.290 | $0.08 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.290 | $0.1 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.290 | $0.01 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.995 | $1.43 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.270 | $0.03 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.260 | $0.04 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.260 | $0.15 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.260 | $1.06 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.370 | $0.39 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.440 | $1.15 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.700 | $2.26 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.570 | $0.02 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.570 | $0.05 | 1h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.680 | $1.25 | 1h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.16 | $0.600 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.600 | $0.05 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.570 | $0.08 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.570 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.560 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.560 | $0.1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.430 | $2.21 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.450 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.450 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.450 | $0.16 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.440 | $0.01 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 4.43 | $0.460 | $2.04 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.390 | $0.12 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.390 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.610 | $2.28 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.420 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.390 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.400 | $0.04 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.42 | $0.360 | $0.15 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.360 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.400 | $0.22 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.340 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.340 | $0.02 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.340 | $0.04 | 3h ago |