What is the “Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 5.5¢ and No at 94.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 5.5% for Yes and 94.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($23.86K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($18.4K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 77 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 72.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 1, 12:21 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/spx-close-dec-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? Odds

Q: What is the “Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Q: What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 5.5¢ and No at 94.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 5.5% for Yes and 94.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Q: When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Q: What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($23.86K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($18.4K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Q: Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 77 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 72.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Q: Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 1, 12:21 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Q: Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/spx-close-dec-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Market referencespx-close-below-6000-dec-2026Updated just now

financeActive

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTCsp-500sp

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

24h Volume

$23.9K

Liquidity

$18.4K

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes price

5.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

5.5%

94.5%

24h volume

$23.86K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 5.5¢

Open in terminal$23.86K 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

2m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

1.0%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

5.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

72%

Yes / No shares

12.31K / 12.32K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

442

Wallets

150

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Jade Quasar D7A7	No	3.75K	59.0%	$3.75K
cryptoincome	No	2.86K	89.4%	$2.86K	Sep 18, 9:07 AM UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 5.5¢ and No at 94.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 5.5% for Yes and 94.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($23.86K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($18.4K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Jade Quasar D7A7

3.75K

59.0%

$3.75K

cryptoincome

2.86K

89.4%

$2.86K

Sep 18, 9:07 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
Jade Quasar D7A7	$3.55K
cryptoincome	$2.7K
KTKK	$1.44K
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.24K
kunsect7	$708.61
retolo273	$531.94
Alegrandebig	$510.3
hitmeok9	$207.96
felbax	$139.37
Suburban-Ecliptic	$133.25
smolbrain0x	$125.54
Stained-Jumper	$104.15