Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 147.29 | $0.804 | $137.72 | +$19.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | 26d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 65.22 |
| $0.840 |
| $57.07 |
| +$2.29 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 58.02 | $0.810 | $56.08 | +$9.08 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 39.71 | $0.881 | $38.22 | +$3.22 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 36.65 | $0.819 | $25.74 | -$4.26 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | No | 24.6 | $0.813 | $23.52 | +$3.52 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 24.69 | $0.810 | $23.09 | +$3.09 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 24.13 | $0.871 | $22.32 | +$1.3 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 22.19 | $0.901 | $20.86 | +$0.86 |
 Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 40.52 | $0.493 | $17.63 | -$2.37 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? | No | 26.67 | $0.750 | $17.07 | -$2.93 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 16.48 | $0.910 | $16.26 | +$1.26 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 17.96 | $0.835 | $16.08 | +$1.08 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15.25 | +$0.25 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 14.93 | $0.670 | $12.76 | +$2.76 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | No | 17.53 | $0.800 | $12.09 | -$1.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $11.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will BP be acquired before 2027? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10.69 | +$0.69 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.5 | +$0.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
| buy |
| 10.64 |
| $0.940 |
| $10 |
| 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 26d ago |
 SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | 26d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.981 | $16.91 | 26d ago |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 26d ago |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.930 | $10.81 | 26d ago |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.981 | $10.77 | 26d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?No | buy | 12.23 | $0.818 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.98 | $0.667 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 14.72 | $0.679 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?No | buy | 24.6 | $0.813 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.870 | $30 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.875 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.53 | $0.800 | $14.02 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 21.05 | $0.978 | $20.59 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.860 | $4.79 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.901 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | buy | 36.65 | $0.819 | $30 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by July 31?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 17.05 | $0.880 | $15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will BP be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No | buy | 22.19 | $0.901 | $20 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 3.55 | $0.840 | $2.98 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 10.88 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |