Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 183.64 | $0.544 | $123.95 | +$23.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 182.59 | $0.966 | $176.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.28K |
| $0.130 |
| $96.06 |
| -$70.44 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.185 | $73.65 | -$136.35 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.200 | $2.75 | -$7.25 |
| buy |
| 781.1 |
| $0.128 |
| $100 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 50.5 | $0.099 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 135.31 | $0.185 | $25 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?Yes | buy | 188.49 | $0.318 | $60 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes | buy | 54.62 | $0.183 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 379.71 | $0.007 | $2.66 | May 21, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 214.03 | $0.310 | $66.35 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 379.72 | $0.263 | $100 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 428.07 | $0.467 | $200 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 40.66 | $0.773 | $31.43 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?Yes | buy | 360.93 | $0.247 | $89.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes | buy | 297.29 | $0.336 | $100 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 159.99 | $0.810 | $129.59 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 40.67 | $0.246 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.600 | $200 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 235.93 | $0.960 | $226.58 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 355.07 | $0.150 | $53.26 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.998 | $191.92 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 724.64 | $0.690 | $500 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 783.9 | $0.998 | $782.33 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.080 | $28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 115.62 | $0.850 | $98.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.200 | $70 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 222.98 | $0.570 | $127.1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.28K | $0.110 | $140.88 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 96.11 | $0.955 | $91.75 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 182.58 | $0.852 | $155.47 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 219.82 | $0.366 | $80.45 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 853.84 | $0.120 | $102.46 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 196.15 | $0.876 | $171.84 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 43.48 | $0.696 | $30.25 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.120 | $144 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 857.63 | $0.590 | $506 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?Yes | sell | 179.96 | $0.029 | $5.28 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 483.11 | $0.200 | $96.62 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.82K | $0.033 | $126.26 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 376.92 | $0.325 | $122.55 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?No | sell | 305.12 | $0.196 | $59.86 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.78K | $0.042 | $158.52 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?Yes | sell | 196.14 | $0.148 | $29.01 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.012 | $1.25 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 235.94 | $0.650 | $153.36 | Mar 21, 2026 |