Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 1h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 100.53 | $0.264 | $13.57 | -$12.95 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.448 | $10.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 72.66 |
| $0.456 |
| $10.54 |
| -$22.59 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.460 | $7.5 | -$15.5 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | Yes | 91 | $0.110 | $6.83 | -$3.18 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.360 | $3.25 | -$14.75 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 23 | $0.448 | $3.01 | -$7.29 |
 Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.1 | $0.500 | $1.11 | -$4.44 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1 | $0.420 | $0.78 | +$0.36 |
 Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.170 | $0.24 | +$0.07 |
 Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026? | Yes | 0.29 | $0.680 | $0.15 | -$0.05 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 0.16 | $0.190 | $0.03 | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.171 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1 | $0.024 | $0.02 | -$0 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.140 | $0 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 50.59 |
| $0.110 |
| $5.56 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.170 | $10.03 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.1 | $0.500 | $5.55 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes | buy | 72.15 | $0.457 | $33 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | May 2, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2PM ETDown | sell | 4.82 | $0.800 | $3.86 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2PM ETDown | buy | 4.65 | $0.510 | $2.37 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1PM ETDown | buy | 171.78 | $0.050 | $8.63 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1PM ETDown | buy | 22.7 | $0.360 | $8.17 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.4 | $0.430 | $13.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.280 | $10.08 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.993 | $49.65 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.997 | $79.76 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.200 | $10.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.040 | $3.24 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.190 | $3.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.440 | $6.16 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.120 | $11.28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.508 | $22.87 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes | buy | 16.11 | $0.090 | $1.45 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.100 | $9.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Canada recession before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.380 | $9.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 49 | $0.440 | $21.56 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.579 | $17.37 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 7.76 | $0.210 | $1.63 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.37 | $0.348 | $5 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.120 | $0.72 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.080 | $2.32 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.110 | $0.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.110 | $0.99 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.035 | $4.47 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.200 | $31.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.280 | $17.64 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 50.41 | $0.139 | $7 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.315 | $3.78 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.57 | $0.232 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Powell Bingo: MarchYes | sell | 15 | $0.998 | $14.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.03 | $0.310 | $9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by March 31?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.310 | $8 | Mar 18, 2026 |