Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $65.5 | +$61.5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 49.99 |
| $0.820 |
| $41.99 |
| +$1 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 100 | $0.225 | $16 | -$6.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.130 | $11 | +$4.5 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $8.5 | +$2.5 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $7.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.170 | $7.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.100 | $6.5 | -$3.5 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.090 | $6.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.060 | $6.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | Yes | 200 | $0.035 | $5.5 | -$1.6 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.180 | $5.15 | -$12.85 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.080 | $5 | -$11 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $5 | -$15 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.060 | $4.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 49.99 | $0.260 | $3.75 | -$9.25 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December? | Yes | 100 | $0.041 | $3.55 | -$0.55 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.054 | $3.4 | -$7.4 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $3.4 | -$4.6 |
 Trump on $250 bill this year? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $3.2 | -$2.8 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.027 | $3.1 | -$2.4 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 100 | $0.079 | $2.3 | -$5.6 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $2.2 | -$2.8 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.080 | $2.1 | -$5.9 |
 Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | Yes | 19.33 | $0.020 | $1.64 | +$1.26 |
| buy |
| 60 |
| $0.118 |
| $7.1 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.006 | $0.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | sell | 100 | $0.243 | $24.3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 99.94 | $0.245 | $24.49 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.084 | $8.4 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.396 | $39.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.005 | $0.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.004 | $0.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETDown | buy | 4.63 | $0.490 | $2.27 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.150 | $52.5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 39.51 | $0.020 | $0.79 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 16.48 | $0.160 | $2.64 | Apr 1, 2026 |