Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | No | 9.6 | $0.673 | $7.15 | +$0.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 1d ago |
 |
| Avengers: Doomsday |
| 5 |
| $0.950 |
| $4.81 |
| +$0.06 |
 Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.946 | $4.78 | +$0.05 |
 Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | $0 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | $0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.73 | -$0.03 |
 Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.73 | -$0.03 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.73 | -$0.03 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.73 | +$0.03 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.73 | +$0.03 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | $0 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | $0 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | $0 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.68 | -$0.03 |
 Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.940 | $4.68 | -$0.03 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.68 | +$0.08 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.68 | -$0.08 |
 Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 5 | $0.950 | $4.67 | -$0.08 |
 Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.934 | $4.67 | $0 |
 Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.937 | $4.67 | -$0.02 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | $0 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.935 | $4.65 | -$0.03 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.930 | $4.63 | -$0.03 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | $0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5.01 | $0.920 | $4.58 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.99 |
| $0.001 |
| $0 |
| 8d ago |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.005 | $0 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.050 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.030 | $0 | 8d ago |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.012 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.93 | $0.023 | $0.02 | 8d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.080 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.050 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.090 | $0.09 | 8d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.870 | $0.1 | 8d ago |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.810 | $0.13 | 8d ago |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.670 | $0.15 | 8d ago |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.910 | $0.15 | 8d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.998 | $0.18 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.920 | $0.37 | 8d ago |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.958 | $0.48 | 8d ago |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.69 | $0.870 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.940 | $0.66 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.690 | $0.68 | 8d ago |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.890 | $0.88 | 8d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.920 | $0.91 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.019 | $0.1 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the AR-01 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 8d ago |
 Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?No | sell | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | 8d ago |
 Glean IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.050 | $0.4 | 8d ago |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?Yes | sell | 10.6 | $0.051 | $0.54 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?No | sell | 12 | $0.050 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MD-06 House seat?No | sell | 12 | $0.050 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat?No | sell | 12 | $0.030 | $0.36 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.040 | $0.52 | 8d ago |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Yes | sell | 14.4 | $0.036 | $0.52 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?No | sell | 15 | $0.030 | $0.45 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-09 House seat?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.027 | $0.4 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?No | sell | 15 | $0.050 | $0.75 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?No | sell | 17 | $0.040 | $0.68 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?No | sell | 17 | $0.050 | $0.85 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.007 | $0.12 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.027 | $0.54 | 8d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 8d ago |
 Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 8d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.004 | $0.09 | 8d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.002 | $0.05 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.017 | $0.43 | 8d ago |