Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 170.01 | $0.830 | $160.66 | +$19.55 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | 15d ago |
 |
| No |
| 23.4 |
| $0.940 |
| $22.27 |
| +$0.27 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.81 | $0.925 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | $0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 9.09 | $0.760 | $8.41 | +$1.5 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.25 | $0.800 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 10.75 |
| $0.930 |
| $10 |
| 15d ago |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.860 | $5.44 | 15d ago |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.920 | $5.93 | 15d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 15d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 15.67 | $0.930 | $14.57 | 15d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 170 | $0.920 | $156.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.967 | $10.62 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.940 | $22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | sell | 7.15 | $0.930 | $6.65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.967 | $5.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 5.47 | $0.947 | $5.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.958 | $5.14 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.987 | $5.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.950 | $4.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.985 | $4.94 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 337.81 | $0.850 | $287.14 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.860 | $6.15 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.965 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 5.47 | $0.914 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.760 | $6.91 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.93 | $0.997 | $6.91 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.850 | $8.75 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.986 | $6.84 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.046 | $0.55 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 26.53 | $0.991 | $26.29 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 16.81 | $0.940 | $15.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.941 | $10 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.790 | $15.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | sell | 79.58 | $0.982 | $78.15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.977 | $2.91 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.981 | $2.85 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.977 | $2.79 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.995 | $2.77 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.994 | $2.76 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 2.81 | $0.978 | $2.75 | Jan 31, 2026 |