Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 22.73 | $0.440 | $19.2 | +$9.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 11.59 | $0.689 | $7.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 9.12 |
| $0.520 |
| $4.74 |
| Mar 20, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.962 | $6.17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 21.1 | $0.474 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 9.12 | $0.548 | $5 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 14.92 | $0.830 | $12.38 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 40.54 | $0.750 | $30.41 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 16.92 | $0.963 | $16.29 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.840 | $10.37 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 36.58 | $0.740 | $27.07 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 11.59 | $0.690 | $8 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Khamenei" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.913 | $9.12 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 26.91 | $0.929 | $25 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 China x Philippines military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 68.33 | $0.065 | $4.42 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 77.86 | $0.026 | $2 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| China x Philippines military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 68.33 | $0.029 | $2 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala's Pennsylvania rally?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.240 | $7 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.3 | $0.093 | $0.4 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Evidence released that Kamala worked at McDonald's?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.070 | $0.5 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump smoke weed with Rogan?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.019 | $0.2 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.190 | $0.4 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.022 | $0.2 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Maduro out in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will France ban Telegram before October?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.060 | $0.4 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Telegram banned by EU country before October?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 28, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.015 | $0.2 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.070 | $0.4 | Aug 9, 2024 |