Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 60% on 30 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 30 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 75.5% on 21 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 11% on 29 Sep 2024. $106.58K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 5:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 30 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | 60.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| odzinski.peter | Yes | 1.67K |
| xddd6 | Yes | 227.27 |
| jakejakeson12 | Yes | 142.86 |
Apple is reportedly in talks to invest in OpenAI, as the tech giant prepares to integrate generative AI features, including ChatGPT, into its products (see: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-apple-funding-chatgpt-50754cd6) . This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple invests in OpenAI by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be official information from Apple and OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-invest-in-openai-in-2024
| Yes |
| 88.73 |
| snoop | Yes | 80 |
| jimmysausages | Yes | 79.37 |
| transtemporal.eth | Yes | 69.37 |
| PhilOFish | Yes | 68.39 |
| roguebets | Yes | 50 |
| Takguy | No | 39.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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