Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2024 to 11 Sep 2024, the highest close was 29.5% on 6 Sep 2024 and the lowest 21.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 29.5% on 6 Sep 2024. $365.01K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 3:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 11 Sep 2024, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 21.5% |
| 11 Sep 2024 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YGs | No | 1.37K |
| MK69 | No | 675.68 |
| Dshepahard | No | 661.43 |
| Speedy-Peen | No | 653.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands at any point immediately before, during, or immediately after their first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, it must occur within the room that the debate takes place in. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-and-harris-shake-hands-at-first-debate
| Stefanie | No | 232 |
| lolk | No | 179.14 |
| wruk | No | 107.13 |
| zuio | No | 100 |
| mgsrevolver | No | 94.12 |
| AC2724 | No | 75.55 |
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