Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 44.44 |
| $0.045 |
| $2 |
| Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nobel" this week? (January 25)Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela On Steroids" this week? (January 25)No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" this week? (January 25)No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (January 25)No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.004 | $0.25 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 253.57 | $0.005 | $1.37 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | sell | 233.51 | $0.004 | $0.88 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 146.42 | $0.033 | $4.83 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?Yes | buy | 106.29 | $0.097 | $10.31 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.009 | $9.74 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.064 | $5 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.120 | $2.67 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.77 | $0.040 | $2.51 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 48.38 | $0.040 | $1.94 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.035 | $1.46 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.150 | $1.25 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Drone" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 37.93 | $0.264 | $10 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | sell | 35.44 | $0.900 | $31.9 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Genius" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 40.67 | $0.880 | $35.79 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.070 | $5.83 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?Yes | sell | 630.21 | $0.009 | $5.52 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | buy | 48.54 | $0.103 | $5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 40.68 | $0.590 | $24 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Oilers vs. PanthersOilers | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.019 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 48.39 | $0.310 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 36.09 | $0.693 | $25 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.92 | $0.314 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |