Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 11 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 237 daily closes on record from 11 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 14.5% on 14 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $884.84K traded over the market's life.
145 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 237 points, 11 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | 12.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-recognize-palestine-in-2025
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| Cryptali | Yes | 2.5K |
| HaBzihi | Yes | 2.1K |
| Quadratus | Yes | 1.5K |
| tumbleroll | Yes | 1.26K |
| Machiaveli | Yes | 1.17K |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 951.43 |
| 4.man.4t | Yes | 927.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
