Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 159.07 | $0.139 | $22.11 | May 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 201 |
| $0.110 |
| $22.11 |
| May 19, 2025 |
 Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 435.21 | $0.140 | $60.93 | May 19, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.140 | $70 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 439.95 | $0.073 | $32.27 | May 19, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 850.86 | $0.130 | $110.61 | May 19, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 903.9 | $0.130 | $117.51 | May 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 417.65 | $0.210 | $87.71 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.110 | $16.28 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | May 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 584.57 | $0.226 | $132.12 | May 18, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.110 | $150 | May 17, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Yes | buy | 882.35 | $0.170 | $150 | May 17, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 381.33 | $0.090 | $34.32 | May 16, 2025 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?Yes | buy | 979.01 | $0.089 | $86.76 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit Russia before July?Yes | buy | 533.07 | $0.055 | $29.42 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | May 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 144.56 | $0.250 | $36.14 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 727.27 | $0.110 | $80 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.120 | $293.58 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.250 | $389.08 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.44 | $0.250 | $113.61 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.82K | $0.120 | $458.72 | May 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 939.99 | $0.240 | $225.6 | May 15, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.043 | $56.29 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes | sell | 677 | $0.141 | $95.78 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?Yes | sell | 5.09K | $0.017 | $86.32 | May 10, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal in April?Yes | sell | 2.8K | $0.639 | $1.79K | May 1, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.019 | $19.09 | May 1, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal in April?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.811 | $925.93 | May 1, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal in April?Yes | sell | 5.36K | $0.873 | $4.68K | May 1, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal in April?Yes | buy | 606 | $0.090 | $54.54 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?No | sell | 349.45 | $0.753 | $263.09 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on April 30?Yes | buy | 339.01 | $0.058 | $19.65 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 50% and 75% on April 30?Yes | buy | 242.05 | $0.199 | $48.1 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.035 | $1.21 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 245 | $0.022 | $5.32 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 120 | $0.052 | $6.19 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 318.67 | $0.045 | $14.3 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 471.13 | $0.050 | $23.4 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.029 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 368.06 | $0.020 | $7.5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?Yes | sell | 756.25 | $0.106 | $79.96 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 18.83 | $0.290 | $5.46 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal in April?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.350 | $24.5 | Apr 23, 2025 |