Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RedNote removed from App Store by Friday?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.995 | $1.2 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.05 |
| $0.987 |
| $4.98 |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
| Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.993 | $4.98 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.993 | $4.97 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.991 | $4.98 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Biden resign before inauguration?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.990 | $5.97 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion caused by lithium battery?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Jan 2, 2025 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.997 | $4.99 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.996 | $4.99 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.989 | $4.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.989 | $4.97 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.997 | $5.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Mark Zuckerberg out as Facebook CEO in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in 2024?No | sell | 8.03 | $0.993 | $7.97 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign in 2024?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.995 | $6.99 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.994 | $7.97 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 7.09 | $0.987 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | sell | 6.03 | $0.993 | $5.99 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.998 | $7.98 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.993 | $7.99 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.994 | $6.98 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.995 | $9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.990 | $6.97 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 7.05 | $0.993 | $7 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 8.08 | $0.988 | $7.98 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.989 | $8 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 U.S. Recession in 2024?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.987 | $8.97 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| U.S. Recession in 2024?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.990 | $9 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.988 | $8.98 | Dec 20, 2024 |