Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 2.1% on 14 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. $1.2M traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 2:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2024 | 1.6% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DavidDurov | Yes | 21.44K |
| ohjoy | Yes | 8.97K |
| Nofiat | Yes | 8K |
| Inexperienced-Clam | Yes | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Unexplained drone sightings over the US Northeast have sparked widespread speculation and government investigations. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that these drones are of extraterrestrial origin by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/are-the-new-jersey-mystery-drones-aliens
New to prediction markets?
| WillLin | Yes | 625 |
| Bossmann | Yes | 588.24 |
| xporter | Yes | 572.5 |
| austinmegan | Yes | 492.5 |
| andresjohnson | Yes | 470 |
| woodsjay | Yes | 424 |
