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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.055 | $0.51 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.15 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.39 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.270 | $1.71 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 13.11 | $0.610 | $8 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.195 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon call Trump a "pedophile" by Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in July?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before August?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Biden seen in public before August?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.790 | $2.15 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.862 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |