Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 51% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2025 to 19 Jul 2025, the highest close was 51% on 12 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 11.5% on 14 Jul 2025. $135.33K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Jul 2025 – 19 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 51.0% |
| 19 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CultofCows | Yes | 2.19K |
| OneFinalStand9917 | Yes | 2.16K |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 1.15K |
| MKODKO500 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pam Bondi, Dan Bongino, or Kash Patel leaves, is removed from, resigns, or is otherwise no longer serving in their current role within the Trump Administration for any period of time between July 11 and July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Bondi, Bongino, or Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bondi-bongino-or-patel-out-by-july-18th
| yourfuturestepdad | Yes | 300 |
| Courageous-Renaissance | Yes | 238.1 |
| lissartter | Yes | 237.75 |
| daemon93 | Yes | 178.85 |
| poliform | Yes | 166.67 |
| Hhcgh666 | Yes | 159.77 |
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