Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 29 Jun 2025, the highest close was 100% on 29 Jun 2025 and the lowest 33.5% on 25 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 90.5% on 26 Jun 2025. $84.59K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 29 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 59.5% |
| 29 Jun 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DanielEtter | No | 2.5K |
| wanker | No | 1.19K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 563 |
| Andrepdl | No | 364.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded between June 23, 3:00 PM ET and July 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by-july-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BirdLiker | No | 250 |
| munkcammac | No | 62.44 |
| zakwhite | No | 57.14 |
| ThatPandaz | No | 39.29 |
| fakeoracle | No | 32.84 |
| awd09 | No | 27.27 |
