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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 19.87 |
| $0.580 |
| $11.52 |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 124.41 | $0.998 | $124.16 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 14.73 | $0.957 | $14.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 327.86 | $0.043 | $14.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 109.68 | $0.943 | $103.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 327.87 | $0.061 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.87 | $0.540 | $10.73 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 901.64 | $0.111 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.330 | $25 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.98K | $0.003 | $5.27 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.035 | $61 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.890 | $21.18 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | sell | 261.35 | $0.951 | $248.59 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 255.56 | $0.180 | $46 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?Yes | buy | 106.63 | $0.938 | $100 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | sell | 576.77 | $0.237 | $136.67 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | buy | 576.78 | $0.069 | $40 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?No | buy | 112.1 | $0.892 | $100 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 164.38 | $0.955 | $156.92 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No | buy | 156.92 | $0.994 | $155.98 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.018 | $20 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.988 | $260 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 272.24 | $0.955 | $260 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 265.63 | $0.753 | $200 | Dec 7, 2024 |