
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 9.2% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 19 May 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 40.1% on 6 May 2026. $155.81K traded over the market's life.
213 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 1 May 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 9.2% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Constant-Approach | Yes | 2.42K |
| keshulo14 | Yes | 2.38K |
| Julztavera | Yes | 1.28K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rubén Rocha Moya is extradited to the United States between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Extradited to the United States” means Rocha Moya is physically transferred to U.S. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Rocha Moya otherwise enters U.S. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Rocha Moya is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.S. government custody by the market’s end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rubén Rocha Moya, the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa, the United States government, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sinaloa-gov-ruben-rocha-extradited-to-us-by
| Popoy1 | Yes | 1.03K |
| norealtime | Yes | 943 |
| Anguished-Bankruptcy | Yes | 868.22 |
| Swift Atlas AF20 | Yes | 793.33 |
| Long-Nightmare | Yes | 738.15 |
| Cylindrical-Pace | Yes | 565.13 |
| rucosoft | Yes | 542.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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