Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 74% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 93% on 22 Jun 2025 and the low 0.6% on 27 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 71 points down, to 12% on 24 Jun 2025. $266.34K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 20 Jun 2025 – 27 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 74.0% |
| 27 Jun 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MakeEthereumGreatAgain | Yes | 17.82K |
| Kjkgdr3jhg | Yes | 1.15K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 999.99 |
| god2 | Yes | 784.33 |
| Test12234 | Yes | 783.08 |
| jfums33 | Yes | 748.11 |
| peterthiel | Yes | 700.71 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 691 |
| ultimatetn | Yes | 445.86 |
| Jmakin | Yes | 238.1 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
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