Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 74% on 20 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 84% on 22 Jun 2025 and the low 2.3% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 19% on 24 Jun 2025. $272.85K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 20 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2025 | 74.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| houseofpain | Yes | 1.99K |
| Untimely-Washcloth | Yes | 1.88K |
| x3429 | Yes | 1.2K |
| jzuz | Yes | 927.04 |
| Alnbbb | Yes | 716.65 |
| guyguy928373 | Yes | 672.69 |
| mmdawfeg | Yes | 659.6 |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| Magenilan16 | Yes | 421.91 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-strike-on-iran-on
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