Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 2.3% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 2.3% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Aug 2025. $12.41K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 2.3% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mezopotoamian41 | Yes | 2.79K |
| BULLET | Yes | 565.67 |
| Safst | Yes | 342.84 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 282.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk physically visits the Western Wall in Jerusalem between July 9 and July 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Elon Musk must visit the main open area of the Western Wall Plaza in Jerusalem within this market's timeframe. The Western Wall Plaza is defined as the large, open, publicly accessible area directly in front of the Western Wall. Visiting other areas of Jerusalem will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-visit-the-western-wall-before-august
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