Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 644.97 | $0.027 | $17.21 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 364.54 |
| $0.090 |
| $32.81 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | sell | 711.81 | $0.003 | $2.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 364.55 | $0.110 | $40 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 482.11 | $0.010 | $4.82 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | buy | 438.53 | $0.046 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes | buy | 273.29 | $0.055 | $15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?Yes | buy | 403.75 | $0.050 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.031 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 482.12 | $0.062 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 188.67 | $0.570 | $107.54 | May 28, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 370.37 | $0.255 | $94.28 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 370.37 | $0.270 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 925 | $0.060 | $55.5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 925 | $0.076 | $70 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes | sell | 384.77 | $0.002 | $0.87 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 315.78 | $0.090 | $28.42 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 315.79 | $0.190 | $60 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Yes | buy | 559 | $0.018 | $10 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 148.15 | $0.270 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.100 | $40 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | buy | 295.92 | $0.237 | $70 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes | buy | 384.78 | $0.156 | $60 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 184.35 | $0.770 | $141.95 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 367.14 | $0.054 | $20 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 536.6 | $0.962 | $516.21 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 184.35 | $0.429 | $79 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.630 | $150 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon visit the Western Wall before August?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 400 | $0.950 | $380 | Jul 12, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party before October?No | sell | 338.21 | $0.456 | $154.14 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.021 | $3 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon register the America Party before October?No | buy | 338.21 | $0.296 | $100 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?No | sell | 257.14 | $0.830 | $213.43 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.037 | $12.29 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 53.57 | $0.340 | $18.21 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?No | sell | 110.98 | $0.882 | $97.93 | Jul 3, 2025 |