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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 70.42 | $0.994 | $69.82 | -$0.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.781 | $7 | May 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 21.14 |
| $0.946 |
| $8.63 |
| -$11.37 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 8.96 | $0.781 | $8.38 | +$1.38 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 3.52 | $0.894 | $3.38 | +$0.23 |
| buy |
| 11.46 |
| $0.960 |
| $11 |
| May 28, 2026 |
 Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 8.25 | $0.970 | $8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 21.14 | $0.946 | $20 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 24?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionYes | buy | 8.13 | $0.984 | $8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.52 | $0.894 | $3.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.930 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.988 | $11 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 28 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.0 and 0.5%?No | buy | 11.34 | $0.970 | $11 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 11.34 | $0.970 | $11 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by less than 24% in January 2026?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.986 | $8 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation in Argentina increase by between 24% and 26.9% in January 2026?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.979 | $13 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.994 | $70 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.4 | $0.937 | $6 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.981 | $8 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.986 | $13 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by October 31?No | buy | 47.46 | $0.999 | $47.41 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 60.3 | $0.995 | $60 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 "Trump Burger" owner deported by September 30?No | buy | 102.31 | $0.999 | $102.21 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.790 | $7 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 August jobs report prints negative?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.947 | $9 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.940 | $4 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | sell | 19.1 | $0.870 | $16.62 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Speed/Kai Super Mario Bros 100+ deaths each by end of livestream?Yes | sell | 24.32 | $0.930 | $22.62 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Speed/Kai Super Mario Bros 100+ deaths each by end of livestream?Yes | sell | 24.31 | $0.939 | $22.83 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Speed/Kai Super Mario Bros 100+ deaths each by end of livestream?Yes | sell | 24.63 | $0.950 | $23.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Speed/Kai Super Mario Bros 100+ deaths each by end of livestream?Yes | buy | 25.26 | $0.950 | $24 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 26.97 | $0.890 | $24 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.880 | $13 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 UK strike on Iran before July?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Trump travel ban removed before July?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on May 23?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.998 | $1.13K | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 24.34K | $0.997 | $24.27K | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 24.34K | $0.998 | $24.3K | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.996 | $2.78 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.920 | $4.96 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.989 | $5.74 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.979 | $3 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 X allowed to operate in China before May?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.976 | $3 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Jack Chambers be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.998 | $2.66 | Dec 2, 2024 |