Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 367 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 44% on 25 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 44% on 25 Feb 2025. $79.35K traded over the market's life.
119 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 367 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 23.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crisp-Invention | Yes | 4.26K |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.5K |
| Nomiss | Yes | 593.65 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/supreme-court-vacancy-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 525.4 |
| SkillzThatKillz | Yes | 377.27 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 315 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 195 |
| Evil-Headlight | Yes | 172.41 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 145 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
