Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 55% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 353 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 55% on 15 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 27% on 16 Jan 2025. $602.45K traded over the market's life.
105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 353 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pushkarunners179 | Yes | 2.24K |
| Tl43 | Yes | 1.57K |
| Lunar Lynx 6399 | Yes | 500 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karen Bass is no longer serving as Mayor of Los Angeles for any length of time between January 13 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Karen Bass's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/karen-bass-out-as-mayor-of-la-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| GoldenX | Yes | 192.31 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 190 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 177.34 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 165 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 150 |
| RobXK | Yes | 140 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
