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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Altman arrested before July?Yes | sell | 42.2 | $0.028 | $1.18 | Mar 26, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 42.2 |
| $0.046 |
| $1.96 |
| Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | sell | 2 | $0.981 | $1.96 | Mar 26, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.977 | $1.96 | Mar 14, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.987 | $1.93 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | Jan 7, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jan 7, 2025 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.970 | $2.95 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.986 | $2.95 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.964 | $2.74 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.917 | $2.74 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 3 | $0.981 | $2.94 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.985 | $2.94 | Dec 15, 2024 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?No | buy | 2.98 | $0.955 | $2.85 | Dec 5, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 3 | $0.950 | $2.85 | Dec 5, 2024 |
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.974 | $2.92 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 3.14 | $0.930 | $2.92 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.870 | $3.31 | Nov 19, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | sell | 3.33 | $0.993 | $3.31 | Nov 19, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.34 | $0.920 | $2.15 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.968 | $2.08 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.910 | $2.08 | Nov 16, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.890 | $2.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.910 | $1.04 | Nov 12, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.976 | $1.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 3.14 | $0.990 | $3.11 | Nov 11, 2024 |
Who will win men?Trump | buy | 1.92 | $0.998 | $1.92 | Nov 10, 2024 |
Who will win young men?Trump | buy | 1.18 | $0.988 | $1.17 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.998 | $1.16 | Nov 8, 2024 |
House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 0.2 | $0.974 | $0.19 | Nov 7, 2024 |
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.920 | $0.19 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.65 | $0.890 | $0.58 | Nov 7, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No | buy | 1.92 | $0.983 | $1.89 | Nov 5, 2024 |
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 0.56 | $0.939 | $0.53 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Iran Nuke in 2024?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.890 | $0.53 | Nov 4, 2024 |
Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.930 | $0.59 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Trump blowout victory?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.910 | $0.2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.840 | $0.5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.984 | $0.2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 0.87 | $0.920 | $0.8 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.870 | $0.5 | Nov 2, 2024 |
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 2, 2024 |