Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 22 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 22 Jun 2024 to 9 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 9 Nov 2024 and the lowest 5.5% on 16 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 24.5% on 2 Nov 2024. $110.21K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 9:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 22 Jun 2024 – 9 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2024 | 49.5% |
| 9 Nov 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.04K |
| afar | Yes | 576.46 |
| Emerald Quasar F259 | No | 423 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is Daniel Lurie. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-san-francisco-mayoral-election
| chemikkal | No | 122 |
| lapokik | No | 104 |
| Lunar Lynx 7D13 | No | 72 |
| Upright-Minute | No | 55 |
| LoseSavings | No | 50.36 |
| Ihaspusis | No | 50 |
| gaffy3r | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
