Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 30% on 19 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 75 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 30% on 19 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 16% on 20 Oct 2024. $501.89K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 75 points, 19 Oct 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2024 | 30.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cactusman77 | Yes | 9.37K |
| Yoss1989 | Yes | 2.69K |
| NadVad | Yes | 454.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has ceased all ground operations within and has withdrawn all ground forces from Gaza between October 17 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn into or behind intended buffer zones, even if that zone is established on internationally recognized Palestinian territory. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-withdraws-from-gaza-in-2024
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 117.65 |
| Acidic-Residue | Yes | 58.82 |
| adsfasdfasdfsa | No | 55.56 |
| Lumire-056 | Yes | 43.79 |
| swisswood | Yes | 31.18 |
| TheFoodieRudz | Yes | 23.26 |
| Tyrus1985 | Yes | 20 |
