Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:06 AM UTC.
Analytics
Hikaru.Plane is down $29.16 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 29 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:06 AM UTC.
$2.48 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from Apr 15, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? | Yes | 56.25 | $0.160 | $7.31 | -$1.69 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.160 | $9 | 6d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-01 09:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 04:06 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 04:06 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-01 09:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $30.53 and losing ones cost $24.84 across 29 settled positions. 65.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.33 on “Will Trump visit China by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $8.53 on “Netanyahu out by June 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 42 markets. Its open positions are worth $21.57 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 17.74 |
| $0.310 |
| $7.19 |
| +$1.69 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | +$0 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? | Yes | 34.99 | $0.150 | $1.42 | -$3.83 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $0.65 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 17.74 |
| $0.310 |
| $5.5 |
| 21d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | 21d ago |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Sep 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13 | $0.190 | $2.47 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.300 | $9.9 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.340 | $2.13 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.520 | $2.55 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.520 | $2.65 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.53 | $0.999 | $3.53 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 4.17 | $0.600 | $2.5 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.690 | $2.44 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.630 | $3.04 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.620 | $3 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 5.5 | $0.660 | $3.63 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.530 | $0.83 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.022 | $1.47 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.510 | $2.81 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.600 | $3.42 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.200 | $0.03 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.200 | $0.08 | May 20, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.150 | $0.48 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
| Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.150 | $1.76 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 13.24 | $0.002 | $0.03 | May 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 4.99 | $0.800 | $3.99 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.780 | $0.35 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.780 | $3.55 | Apr 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.