
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 62% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 48.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $240.5K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 20.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-any-diplomatic-meeting-byptptpt-20260629155934230
| Yes |
| 800 |
| meow-123 | Yes | 794.13 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 580.87 |
| Which-Odyssey-Drive | Yes | 547 |
| Meduzinator | Yes | 514.97 |
| KostyaDDD | Yes | 500 |
| Mr.Frog🐸 | Yes | 407.37 |
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