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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.71 | $0.280 | $2.22 | +$0.9 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.062 | $1.24 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.22 |
| $0.230 |
| $2.18 |
| +$0.29 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 148.35 | $0.013 | $1.11 | -$0.89 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 13.88 | $0.174 | $1.04 | -$1.38 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | No | 1.11 | $0.901 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat? | Yes | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | No | 3.57 | $0.080 | $0.98 | +$0.69 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.98 | $0.904 | $0.95 | +$0.07 |
 Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.98 | $0.440 | $0.95 | -$1.24 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-25 House seat? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.910 | $0.94 | +$0.04 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 0.95 | $0.950 | $0.93 | +$0.03 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 0.96 | $0.392 | $0.87 | +$0.49 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.88 | $0.854 | $0.87 | +$0.11 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.95 | $0.774 | $0.86 | +$0.12 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.779 | $0.85 | +$0.14 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.86 | $0.888 | $0.85 | +$0.09 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 0.87 | $0.836 | $0.84 | +$0.11 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.672 | $0.82 | +$0.22 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 0.96 | $0.813 | $0.82 | +$0.04 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | $0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat? | Yes | 0.8 | $0.961 | $0.79 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.850 | $0.79 | -$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.91 | $0.836 | $0.78 | +$0.02 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 0.82 | $0.870 | $0.78 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 4 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.36 |
| Aug 9, 2026 |
 Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.200 | $0.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Tread FDV above $80M one day after launchYes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.260 | $4.42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.126 | $2.27 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.022 | $0.46 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.346 | $7.96 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.031 | $1.22 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.019 | $0.76 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.030 | $1.53 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.020 | $3.14 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.005 | $0.88 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 193 | $0.021 | $4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.111 | $26.7 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.511 | $48.55 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 173 | $0.240 | $41.52 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.410 | $37.31 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 458 | $0.080 | $36.66 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 322 | $0.110 | $35.42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 70 | $0.360 | $25.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 124 | $0.152 | $18.89 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.140 | $14.28 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.100 | $14.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.245 | $12.73 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes | sell | 105 | $0.110 | $11.55 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 127 | $0.080 | $10.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?No | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.173 | $7.42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Graham Platner divorce by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.079 | $7.89 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.263 | $7.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan BearsDoosan Bears | sell | 9 | $0.570 | $5.13 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.159 | $4.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.320 | $4.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.070 | $3.99 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.910 | $3.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.640 | $2.56 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September?No | sell | 3 | $0.790 | $2.37 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will B8 Make a Roster Change before September?No | sell | 4 | $0.650 | $2.6 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.090 | $2.61 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.050 | $2.53 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.290 | $2.32 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.680 | $2.04 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.988 | $1.98 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 2 | $0.820 | $1.64 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.050 | $2.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.130 | $1.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold PropositionNo | sell | 3 | $0.570 | $1.71 | Aug 9, 2026 |