Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 100% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 27.5% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 72 points up, to 100% on 8 Jul 2026. $89.21M traded over the market's life.
674 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 72.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HelixEdge | No | 20.3M |
| Jealous-Agony | No | 1.5M |
| Lunar Raven 08F2 | No | 1.16M |
| ElcapitanZ | No | 996K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face in any photograph or video during a 2026 FIFA World Cup match for Portugal. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The 'crying' must occur while Ronaldo is on the field or the bench area; crying in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, or staged reproductions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be credible video or photographic evidence.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ronaldo-cry-at-the-world-cup-20260604013616610
| ca112 | No | 622.22K |
| khanhnm99 | No | 529.8K |
| PeAPAnieniLiala | No | 502.5K |
| edengul | No | 416K |
| DaintyFleet1469 | No | 344.44K |
| Keen Raven 003C | No | 250K |
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