Latest trade
Jul 26, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:04 PM UTC.
Analytics
Misguided-Debt is down $117.24 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-10-21 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 26, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 5:04 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 54.0% were buys. They run from Mar 8, 2025 UTC to Jul 26, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.710 | $1.87 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-10-21 18:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 17:04 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 17:04 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-10-21 18:38 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $387.43 and losing ones cost $497.19 across the latest 50 settled positions. 48% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $183.72 on “Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?” (Yes); the largest loss, $349.71 on “Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Jul 2025. It has traded 107 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.81 |
| $0.490 |
| $0.89 |
| Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.882 | $0.98 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.830 | $1.06 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.880 | $1.37 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.950 | $1.99 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Obama divorce in 2025?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.940 | $1.99 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.968 | $2.3 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | sell | 3.16 | $0.947 | $2.99 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 3.29 | $0.962 | $3.16 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | sell | 4 | $0.380 | $1.52 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 5.43 | $0.860 | $4.67 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon register the America Party in July?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.962 | $5.52 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.963 | $6.02 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.650 | $4.78 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 6.78 | $0.728 | $4.94 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 13.19 | $0.359 | $4.74 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.105 | $1.69 | Jul 26, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.910 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Obama divorce in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Joe Biden book deal in 2025?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.949 | $3 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Bezos divorce in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.893 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon register the America Party in July?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.78 | $0.737 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 13.19 | $0.379 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on April 30?No | buy | 4.73 | $0.440 | $2.08 | Apr 16, 2025 UTC |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 1.07 | $0.979 | $1.05 | Apr 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.920 | $1.03 | Apr 16, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 33.51 | $0.375 | $12.58 | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No | buy | 18.51 | $0.368 | $6.81 | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.640 | $0.94 | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.520 | $0.71 | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.