Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 4 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 171 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2025 to 24 Jul 2025, the highest close was 91% on 5 Feb 2025 and the lowest 30.5% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 91% on 5 Feb 2025. $109.6K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 171 points, 4 Feb 2025 – 24 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2025 | 61.5% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | 34.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dontshowmyname | No | 3.16K |
| 7153649820 | No | 999.99 |
| Doonkune | No | 444 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden signs a book deal at any point between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from Biden or a book publisher, however consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/joe-biden-book-deal-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Phi6868 | No | 425.45 |
| yolooracle | No | 340 |
| Productive-Ephemeris | No | 211.14 |
| Nostradam | No | 208.33 |
| lissartter | No | 170.02 |
| grut675 | No | 97 |
| theMule | No | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
