Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 14, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$820.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 14, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 14 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 77.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 8 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2025 to 14 Jul 2025, the highest close was 77.5% on 14 Jul 2025 and the lowest 44% on 8 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 77.5% on 14 Jul 2025. $820.91K traded over the market's life.

100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 12:31 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Jul 2025 – 14 Jul 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Jul 2025	44.0%
14 Jul 2025	77.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	170.23K
WhiteLivesMatter	No	12K
durial321	No	8.66K
ericqwe	No	5.07K

10 of 100 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “Jurassic World Rebirth” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Superman-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 11 - July 13) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by July 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.