Latest trade
Mar 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:07 PM UTC.
Analytics
thelongshot is down $988.15 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-13 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 13, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:07 PM UTC.
$2.83 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 44 markets; 90.0% were buys. They run from Feb 18, 2025 UTC to Mar 13, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.720 | $9 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-13 13:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 23:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 23:07 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-13 13:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $61.56 and losing ones cost $538.49 across 47 settled positions. 25.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.02 on “Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes” (Volkanovski); the largest loss, $200 on “Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 13 Mar 2026. It has traded 71 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 8.33 |
| $0.360 |
| $3 |
| Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 203.27 | $0.074 | $15 | Jul 29, 2025 UTC |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.991 | $14.15 | Apr 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will FYRE Festival 2 sell out?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.598 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 25.75 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.065 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.042 | $10 | Apr 14, 2025 UTC |
 Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May?Yes | sell | 5.66 | $0.750 | $4.25 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego LopesVolkanovski | buy | 27.32 | $0.560 | $15.3 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.660 | $8.46 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump cut military spending?No | sell | 7.35 | $0.930 | $6.84 | Apr 10, 2025 UTC |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.380 | $1.12 | Apr 1, 2025 UTC |
| Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.360 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.64 | $0.112 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 5?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.350 | $2.66 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will North Carolina win the ACC conference tournament?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'Putin' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'ceasefire' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'mineral' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.240 | $2.5 | Mar 4, 2025 UTC |
 TikTok sale announced before April?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Trump negative approval before April?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.022 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump cut military spending?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.