Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 5 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 May 2025 and the lowest 42% on 20 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 42% on 20 Mar 2025. $973.02K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 5 Mar 2025 – 1 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2025 | 58.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lovinPotato69 | No | 1.14K |
| American-American | No | 940.78 |
| angryLuft | No | 717.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine agree to any deal between March 4 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals without Volodymyr Zelenskyy issuing an apology to Donald Trump. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any apology which is public or confirmed by Donald Trump will qualify regardless of whether Zelenskyy denies that an apology was issued. The apology must be issued prior to the deal or within 1 hour of the deal being agreed. Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals. An announcement of a deal will qualify regardless of if/when the deal is enacted. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sign-mineral-deal-without-zelenskyy-apology
| Yes |
| 144.93 |
| YaniT | No | 138.89 |
| LegalPilot | No | 120.8 |
| edgario | No | 120.5 |
| Unwitting-Icecream | No | 96.98 |
| Customluger | No | 62.72 |
| mneybrrrrr | No | 54.05 |
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