Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 84%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 14 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2025 to 12 Apr 2025, the highest close was 84% on 12 Apr 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 53 points up, to 84% on 12 Apr 2025. $506.43K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 14 Mar 2025 – 12 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2025 | 59.5% |
| 12 Apr 2025 | 84.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Credencetothekind | No | 80.18 |
| Unwitting-Icecream | No | 20.41 |
| TechnoHoodlum | Yes | 9.62 |
| poldog | Yes | 7.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of any alcoholic beverages into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on alcoholic beverages from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the increase is structured. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the policy goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-tariff-on-eu-alcohol-before-may
| NNikolidakis | No | 2.94 |
| paeeth | Yes | 0.08 |
| ShuRuGa | Yes | 0.02 |
| Admap | No | 0.02 |
| Haradwaith | No | 0.01 |
| SuARas | Yes | 0.01 |
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