Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 29.03 | $0.310 | $9 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 9.75 |
| $0.480 |
| $4.68 |
| Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 11.25 | $0.409 | $4.6 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | buy | 3.73 | $0.750 | $2.8 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.250 | $2.63 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before May?No | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.780 | $3 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" by April 4?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.768 | $4 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "April Fool's" by April 4?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "COVID" by April 4?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Mar 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" by April 4?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 69.2 | $0.289 | $20 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Yes | sell | 56.25 | $0.140 | $7.88 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.340 | $17.44 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Yes | sell | 104.48 | $0.464 | $48.48 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?Yes | buy | 175.06 | $0.246 | $43 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.193 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?Yes | buy | 60.45 | $0.165 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | sell | 133.67 | $0.474 | $63.37 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 17.31 | $0.520 | $9 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 17.31 | $0.520 | $9 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 19.78 | $0.505 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?Yes | buy | 117.21 | $0.085 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will DOGE confirm Gold missing from Fort Knox?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?Yes | buy | 88.23 | $0.034 | $3 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before May?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?No | buy | 11.25 | $0.355 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
| Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 7.73 | $0.518 | $4 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Mar 29, 2025 |