Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 10% on 6 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 420 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2025 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 18% on 14 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points up, to 7.9% on 2 Jun 2025. $566.7K traded over the market's life.
242 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 420 points, 6 Jan 2025 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| xlefgerx | Yes | 16.99K |
| gandalf | Yes | 10K |
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 750,000 (inclusive) and 1,000,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-trump-deport-in-2025
| BFBB | Yes | 3.42K |
| Tioedwardo | Yes | 3.38K |
| Sniveling-Cliff | Yes | 2.74K |
| Harmful-Opportunity | Yes | 2.69K |
| Royal Signal FAC0 | Yes | 2.38K |
| morilun | Yes | 2K |
| Drowerz | Yes | 1.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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