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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 37 | $0.900 | $36.09 | +$2.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 31.15 | $0.830 | $25.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| No |
| 31 |
| $0.920 |
| $30.49 |
| +$1.97 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 28 | $0.914 | $26.75 | +$1.16 |
2026 Balance of Power: Other | No | 24 | $0.992 | $23.92 | +$0.11 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 24.08 | $0.917 | $22.9 | +$0.82 |
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 23.25 | $0.973 | $22.82 | +$0.2 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 19.99 | $0.936 | $19.38 | +$0.67 |
US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.17 | +$1.37 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.570 | $17.3 | +$5.9 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 15 | $0.950 | $14.66 | +$0.41 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 31.15 | $0.830 | $11.68 | -$14.17 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 229.99 | $0.004 | $0.34 | -$0.58 |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.012 | $0.15 | -$1.05 |
| buy |
| 24.08 |
| $0.917 |
| $22.08 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No | buy | 15.98 | $0.993 | $15.88 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.994 | $22.86 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.980 | $20.69 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 128.49 | $0.012 | $1.54 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.020 | $4.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.975 | $35.1 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | May 23, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: OtherNo | buy | 24 | $0.992 | $23.81 | May 23, 2026 |
Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.939 | $19.82 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.994 | $52.68 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | May 23, 2026 |
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.28 | $0.600 | $3.17 | May 23, 2026 |
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.110 | $7.59 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will USD/KRW hit 1350 (Low) in 2026?No | buy | 9.19 | $0.510 | $4.69 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 9.08 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.59 | $0.670 | $19.16 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.880 | $43.99 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.003 | $3.3 | Apr 2, 2026 |
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 31.42 | $0.280 | $8.8 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.988 | $35.57 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.920 | $28.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.914 | $25.59 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.987 | $39.48 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 30 | $0.979 | $29.37 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 36 | $0.968 | $34.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 33.08 | $0.991 | $32.77 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.983 | $23.59 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.972 | $64.15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?No | buy | 25 | $0.993 | $24.83 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.993 | $18.87 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.910 | $11.83 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.989 | $22.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 36.73 | $0.999 | $36.69 | Dec 18, 2025 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 35.32 | $0.991 | $35 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 23.25 | $0.973 | $22.62 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.890 | $15.13 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | sell | 63.83 | $0.997 | $63.64 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Joe Biden arrested by December 31?No | buy | 19.7 | $0.993 | $19.56 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | buy | 32 | $0.955 | $30.56 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.245 | $4.42 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Monster Hunter Wilds win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.001 | $1.07 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?No | buy | 63.83 | $0.987 | $63 | Oct 24, 2025 |