Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 231 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 7 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 12% on 30 Nov 2025. $83.75K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 231 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 18.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Breakable-Bottomline | Yes | 3.58K |
| bigmaw | Yes | 678.23 |
| OnionKoreanWar | Yes | 499.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027
| boboling | Yes | 298.73 |
| niglette | Yes | 109.25 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.99 |
| dan333 | Yes | 93.88 |
| l492 | Yes | 87.14 |
| Bright Vector 2089 | Yes | 69.8 |
| Frugal-Picturesque | Yes | 64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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